Monsoons, Markets & Money: What’s Shaping 2025?
Our latest Windmill Capital AMA with Naveen KR brought together market watchers, portfolio holders, and curious investors, all asking the same thing: Where are we headed next?
From macro signals to new launches, here’s a quick rundown of what was discussed:
🌦️ 1. A Rainy Tailwind: Monsoon & Rate Outlook
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) revised its forecast for the 2025 Southwest Monsoon to above normal, setting the stage for a potential rural demand revival. Combine that with cooling inflation and hints of possible rate cuts from the RBI, and the market could be looking at a consumption-led boost in the months ahead.
Sectors to watch: FMCG, consumer durables, automobiles, plus a potential easing of stress in microfinance and rural lending.
📈 2. How Long Does It Take to Double Money in the Nifty?
One of the most engaging segments was a look at the historical doubling timelines for investors in the Nifty. Spoiler: it’s not as straightforward as “Rule of 72” math. Naveen walked through rolling return windows, showing that time in the market still trumps timing the market, especially with quality exposure.
📊 3. Portfolio Pulse: How Did GEMQ, V&M, and QSQ Perform?
A candid performance review of Windmill’s most followed smallcases:
- GEM-Q: Continued strength in high-growth names
- V&M (Value & Momentum): Steady, with strong stock selection driving alpha
- QSQ (Quality Smart Quant): Delivered resilience across volatile quarters
Each portfolio came with a discussion on what worked, what didn’t, and how the strategy is evolving in response to changing market cycles.
🚀 4. What’s New: 3 Fresh smallcases Now Live
Windmill Capital also unveiled three new smallcases, already live on the platform:
- Quality Bluechip – Quant: Large & mid-cap focused, combining quality + momentum
- Growth Multicap – Quant: A high-growth, high-volatility multicap strategy
- Capital Markets Tracker: Benefits from India’s secular growth in wealth and financialization of savings
These portfolios apply our quantamental framework, blending factor investing with curated stock selection to target long-term, consistent compounding.
🙋 5. Live Q&A: Real Questions, Real Insights
From doubts about rebalance frequency to portfolio performance, Naveen addressed user queries.
🎥 Missed the Live Session?
Catch the full AMA replay here:
Here’s a playlist with all Windmill Capital’s webinars and videos.
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