Nifty cracked below the all important support level of 15500 – 15700 from where we witnessed multiple bounces in the last 12 months. We have also been seeing Lower Highs & Lower Lows since the recent Oct 2021 peak. The current bearish trajectory may be a result of several factors that are already known to all. We have listed a few of the important ones below.
In an attempt to control inflation, the FED bumped up the interest rate by 75 bps which was considered to be the biggest rate hike in the last 28 years. With inflation levels also recording massive multi decade highs in the US and across the world, there is a fear of recession as well. All these factors along with the continued uncertainty around Russia – Ukraine situation seem to be acting as a block to the the larger up trend we have been seeing post COVID fall. There certainly will be many such cycles being played out but if you are a long term investor following a good strategy, you need not worry and may continue your SIPs.
Benchmark Indices fell between 5% to 7% this week while the drawdowns seem to have crossed 20% in a few indices too. METALS have now lost (-17.51%) in the last 30 days. While all WeekendInvesting strategies remained in red, absolute momentum based strategies took a lesser beating owing to the CASH component. But – as we have said many number of times, it is during such times that conviction of an investor is put to test. Performance is updated below.
A SHORT COURSE to Help you Stay Calm in All Market Conditions
Usually, quick – sharp corrections amidst a Bull Run creates ambiguity in the minds of lots of new investors. The most important questions we often get asked is whether markets will crash from here ? Should we exit ? and few other questions like these. We have made several videos to help you clarify many such questions and help you have the RIGHT MINDSET for a rewarding journey in investing.
We have put together a few of our previous Daily Bytes which we think might be relevant for times like these. Do have a look and send us your thoughts, questions or comments if any.
The smallcase products are all LONG ONLY products that invest in various subsegments of the markets but have the momentum theme underlying in all of them. The strategies will pick strong outperforming stocks and remove weak ones once a week (except NNF10 which is monthly rebalanced)
These are all long term strategies that will create enormous wealth in each upswing and then maybe give some back in the downswing and repeating this process again and again achieving the compounding effect. With patience and grit to follow strategy over ups and downs over the last nearly five years it has been shown that much superior CAGR returns are possible than the benchmarks.
FY22 was also superb and I will let the numbers speak for themselves. You may read the Consolidated FY22 report.
We give an advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday . This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you can use the smallcase app or login to weekendinvesting.smallcase.com to see the rebalance. A back up email is sent by mid day Monday if you have not rebalanced by then and yet another one a day later.
Note : We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.
The performance for the week and the month for all the smallcases is presented below.
Large & Mid Cap Strategies – Performance
Mid & Smallcap Strategies – Performance
Smallcap Based Strategies
All Cap Based Strategies – Performance
Many of you had asked us to make the index series of all WeekendInvesting Products available so that you could perform your own analysis and studies. You can find a link to the LIVE sheet here and also on the HUB under support column in the content tab.
WeekendInvesting Telegram and YouTube Channel
We post daily content related to investing on our Weekendinvesting Telegram Channel and YouTube channel to help our community take stock of the performance of markets, sectors & our products and touch base upon a new topic every day. We look forward to having you all there.! The several videos in this blog are from this series.
We have launched revamped versions of our STAIRS models and we had made a video giving you a basic introduction to the models.
STAIRS is a LONG / SHORT derivative strategy that is designed to offer an uncorrelated diversification option to your equity portfolio. STAIRS will do well when there are up trends & also when there are down trends while giving up some of the gains when markets remain rangebound / volatile.
STAIRS models had a great week capitalizing on the down trend. You may go through the Weekly Review
All 4 STAIRS models go in line with our fundamental philosophy of making the most and compounding aggressively when markets give us trends and go very defensive as trends fizzle out and enter a rangebound territory thus providing a robust capital & profit protection.
Effectively – STAIRS is a complete trading system (Futures & Options) that covers each of the following decisions required for a successful trading outcome:
• Markets – What to buy or sell ?
• Position Sizing – How much to buy or sell ?
• Entries – When to buy or sell ?
• Stops – When to get out of a losing position ?
• Exits – When to get out of a winning position ?
We also run a dedicated telegram channel for STAIRS which you may join using this link
This is all for this week. Please stay safe and we shall meet again next week. Bye !